Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auckland United vs Cambridge

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
3 - 1
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Clarkin J.
79' Event
Fay O.
83'
Dale M.

AI Match Summary

Auckland United in this Chatham Cup matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Auckland United
30%
Draws
34%
Cambridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland United lately — more wins on the board than Cambridge.
  • Win probability leans Auckland United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Chatham Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 15%
Cambridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United Cambridge
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 12 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Chatham Cup
Auckland United vs Cambridge
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fay O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Cambridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarkin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United 35 / 100
Cambridge 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United Cambridge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cambridge conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Auckland United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Auckland United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United VS Cambridge
3 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC3
South Auckland Rangers0
Auckland City3
Takapuna Afc0
Melville0
Hibiscus Coast1
Petone0
Napier City4
Dunedin City Royals0
Cashmere Technical9
Island Bay1
Miramar3
Nelson Suburbs FC5
Northern AFC0
Auckland United3
Cambridge1
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC-
Auckland City-
Hibiscus Coast-
Napier City-
Cashmere Technical-
Miramar-
Nelson Suburbs FC-
Auckland United-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-