Sport Picks
Auckland United vs Coastal Spirit
New Zealand
National League Keith Hay Park 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Auckland United play Coastal Spirit in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Auckland United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Coastal Spirit averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland United won 1, Coastal Spirit won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 1, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Auckland United and 1.13 for Coastal Spirit. This points to a Auckland United double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Auckland United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coastal Spirit.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Auckland United.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in National League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland United | Coastal Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland United Compare
Coastal Spirit Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Auckland United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Coastal Spirit let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Auckland United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Coastal Spirit lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Olympic | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Miramar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | Auckland FC 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Western Springs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Birkenhead | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Christchurch | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Western Suburbs | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19:21 | 10 |
| 10 | Auckland United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 11 | Coastal Spirit | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:23 | 7 |