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Auckland United vs Eastern Suburbs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland United host Eastern Suburbs in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Auckland United have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Eastern Suburbs's 1.62 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Auckland United slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2023, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.33, favoring Auckland United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Auckland United
30%
Draws
33%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Auckland United a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 18%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2023 National League
Auckland United vs Eastern Suburbs
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United 76 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Eastern Suburbs has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Auckland United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United VS Eastern Suburbs
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
2 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United

(Home)
10 Oct
Auckland FC 2
2 : 2
Auckland United
04 Oct
Auckland United
7 : 1
Napier City
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Auckland United
04 Jul
Auckland United
3 : 1
Cambridge
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)