Sport Picks
Auckland United vs Ferrymead Bays - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League 
AI Match Summary
Auckland United host Ferrymead Bays in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Auckland United have averaged 2 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Ferrymead Bays's 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.39 xG vs 1.21) point toward Auckland United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Auckland United come out ahead of Ferrymead Bays on wins alone.
- Model gives Auckland United a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland United | Ferrymead Bays |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 5 |
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferrymead Bays's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.
Auckland United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Auckland United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Ferrymead Bays's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Auckland United
(Home)Ferrymead Bays
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Auckland City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Birkenhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 9 | Napier City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:12 | 1 |
| 11 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 0 |
