Sport Picks
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola 
Match Events
42'
42'
Gambale D.
45'
45'
Ruggiero Z.
90'
90'
Zanaboni E.
AI Match Summary
Audace Cerignola in this Coppa Italia Serie C tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Casarano haven't matched Audace Cerignola's recent run of results.
- Casarano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Audace Cerignola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Audace Cerignola, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.71 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
3:0
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
1:0
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Gambale D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruggiero Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanaboni E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Audace Cerignola 18 / 100
Casarano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Audace Cerignola Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Audace Cerignola scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Casarano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Audace Cerignola remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Audace Cerignola VS Casarano
1.14 Goals Scored 2.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Audace Cerignola
(Home) 03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Latina
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19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Latina
22 Mar
Audace Cerignola
1 : 0 Giugliano
15 Mar
Audace Cerignola
3 : 2 Sorrento
05 Mar
Audace Cerignola
4 : 2 Trapani
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Casarano
(Away) 20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5 Casarano
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4 Casarano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana-
TBD-
Campobasso3
Casertana0
Giugliano4
Pianese1
Benevento1
Guidonia 19370
Sambenedettese2
Vis Pesaro0
Pineto2
Ascoli3
Carpi1
Trento0
Union Brescia2
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Monopoli1
Cosenza0
Potenza1
Cavese0
Audace Cerignola-
TBD-
Casarano1
Altamura0
Salernitana1
Sorrento2
Picerno1
Trapani2
Crotone1
Catania0
Foggia2
Siracusa1
Rimini-
TBD-
Ravenna2
Cittadella0
Virtus Verona2
Forli FC3
Arzignano2
Triestina1
Lecco0
Ospitaletto1
Lumezzane1
Inter U232
Pergolettese1
Renate2
Juventus U231
Novara0
Vicenza-
TBD-
AlbinoLeffe0
Pro Vercelli3
Giana Erminio1
Atalanta U234
Pro Patria1
Alcione Milano2
Arezzo2
Bra1
Sassari Torres2
Livorno1
Latina1
Gubbio0
Perugia1
US Pontedera0
1/16-finals
Ternana1
Campobasso0
Giugliano2
Benevento0
Sambenedettese2
Ascoli1
Carpi0
Union Brescia1
Monopoli0
Potenza1
Audace Cerignola2
Casarano1
Sorrento2
Trapani1
Crotone1
Foggia0
Rimini0
Ravenna3
Forli FC0
Arzignano1
Ospitaletto1
Inter U232
Renate2
Juventus U231
Vicenza0
Pro Vercelli1
Atalanta U232
Alcione Milano1
Arezzo2
Sassari Torres0
Latina2
Perugia1
1/8-finals
Ternana3
Giugliano1
Sambenedettese1
Union Brescia3
Potenza4
Audace Cerignola2
Sorrento1
Crotone3
Ravenna3
Arzignano0
Inter U232
Renate3
Pro Vercelli5
Atalanta U231
Arezzo0
Latina1
Quarter-finals
Ternana4
Union Brescia1
Potenza3
Crotone1
Ravenna1
Renate2
Pro Vercelli0
Latina1
Semi-finals
Ternana1
Potenza2
Renate2
Latina3
Final
Potenza3
Latina2
