Sport Picks
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola 
Match Events
42'
42'
Gambale D.
45'
45'
Ruggiero Z.
90'
90'
Zanaboni E.
AI Match Summary
Audace Cerignola in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Audace Cerignola haven't matched Casarano's recent run of results.
- Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Casarano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Audace Cerignola, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Audace Cerignola | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
1:0
Feb 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
3:0
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Gambale D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruggiero Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanaboni E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Audace Cerignola 59 / 100
Casarano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Audace Cerignola Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Audace Cerignola scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Casarano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Audace Cerignola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Audace Cerignola VS Casarano
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Audace Cerignola
(Home) 26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1 Cosenza
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2 Monopoli
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
Page 1 of 3
Casarano
(Away) 27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
