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Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Scipioni E.
12' Event
Perlingieri M.
1' Event
Valenti B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Audace Cerignola
30%
Draws
37%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Audace Cerignola lately — more wins on the board than Monopoli.
  • Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Audace Cerignola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monopoli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Monopoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:0
Nov 18, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlingieri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Scipioni E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 59 / 100
Monopoli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audace Cerignola scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Monopoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Audace Cerignola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS Monopoli
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -