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Audax-SP vs Desportivo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportivo in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Audax-SP
30%
Draws
23%
Desportivo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Audax-SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Audax-SP have won more games recently than Desportivo.
  • Audax-SP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Desportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Desportivo
0:2
Feb 9, 2019 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Audax-SP
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 85 / 100
Desportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Desportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audax-SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Audax-SP scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Desportivo has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Desportivo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax-SP VS Desportivo
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax-SP

(Home)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 6

Desportivo

(Away)
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
14 Mar
Rio Preto EC
4 : 0
Desportivo
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0
Desportivo
07 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 1
Uniao Barbarense
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)