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Audax-SP vs Red Bull Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Audax-SP play Red Bull Brasil in the Paulista A3 2023. Audax-SP are favorites here. Recently, Audax-SP averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Red Bull Brasil averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Audax-SP won 1, Red Bull Brasil won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Audax-SP and 1.00 for Red Bull Brasil. This points to a Audax-SP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Audax-SP
25%
Draws
15%
Red Bull Brasil
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Audax-SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Audax-SP picked up more points recently compared to Red Bull Brasil.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 23%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Red Bull Brasil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Red Bull Brasil
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Audax-SP
0:0
Mar 10, 2021 Paulista A2
Audax-SP vs Red Bull Brasil
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Audax-SP
0:2
Mar 11, 2017 Paulista
Audax-SP vs Red Bull Brasil
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 59 / 100
Red Bull Brasil 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Red Bull Brasil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audax-SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Audax-SP & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Audax-SP attacking → ← attacking Red Bull Brasil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax-SP scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Red Bull Brasil let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Audax-SP went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Red Bull Brasil lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 26
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marilia1592425:1529
2Sao Jose EC1583413:1227
3Capivariano1576228:1127
4Gremio Prudente1573521:1624
5Desportivo1573514:924
6EC Sao Bernardo1571717:1622
7Uniao Suzano1563621:1821
8Matonense1562721:1820
9Bandeirante1555519:1520
10Red Bull Brasil1554624:2319
11Rio Preto EC1554615:2119
12Itapirense1547411:1719
13Votuporanguense1545614:1917
14Sertaozinho1551915:2616
15Barretos EC1544718:2916
16Audax-SP153398:1912