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Stadium Background

Aue II vs Gotha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Aue II Logo

Aue II

4 - 1
FT
Gotha Logo

Gotha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aue II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aue II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aue II
15%
Draws
0%
Gotha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aue II have won more games recently than Gotha.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aue II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aue II Clean Sheet 19%
Gotha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue II Gotha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Gotha
4:1
Nov 24, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Aue II
2:1
May 1, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Gotha
4:1
Aug 28, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Aue II
0:0
Apr 3, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Gotha
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue II 85 / 100
Gotha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue II Gotha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aue II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gotha conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gotha's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aue II found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Aue II VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue II

(Home)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
Page 1 of 7

Gotha

(Away)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)