Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue U19 vs Dresden U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aue U19 host Dresden U19 in the DFB Youth League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Aue U19 at 1.41 goals for, 2.28 against; Dresden U19 at 1.84 for, 2.35 against. Past meetings favor Aue U19 slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.88) back Aue U19 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aue U19
15%
Draws
57%
Dresden U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dresden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aue U19 haven't matched Dresden U19's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Dresden U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aue U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aue U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue U19 Dresden U19
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Aue U19
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Aue U19
3:4
Sep 13, 2025 DFB Youth League
Aue U19 vs Dresden U19
5:1
Dec 7, 2024 DFB Youth League
Aue U19 vs Dresden U19
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Aue U19
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue U19 10 / 100
Dresden U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue U19 Dresden U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Aue U19 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Dresden U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aue U19 VS Dresden U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Aue U19
2 : 1
Erfurt U19
12 Sept
Nurnberg U19
2 : 1
Aue U19
05 Sept
Aue U19
2 : 7
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
22 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
7 : 1
Aue U19
14 Aug
Aue U19
0 : 3
Furth U19
Page 1 of 6

Dresden U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Dresden U19
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
15 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
4 : 2
Dresden U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamburger U19 5 4 0 1 14:7 12
2 Werder Bremen U19 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
3 St. Pauli U19 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Magdeburg U19 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
5 Berliner AK 07 U19 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
6 Hansa Rostock U19 4 0 2 2 9:14 2
7 Holstein Kiel U19 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Berlin U19 6 5 1 0 18:7 16
2 Hallescher U19 6 4 0 2 15:12 12
3 Cottbus U19 6 3 0 3 14:8 9
4 Jena U19 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
5 Hertha U19 5 2 0 3 12:10 6
6 Babelsberg U19 6 2 0 4 14:17 6
7 Braunschweig U19 5 2 0 3 5:16 6
8 Chemnitzer U19 4 1 0 3 10:15 3
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 5 0 1 23:7 15
2 RB Leipzig U19 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Nurnberg U19 5 3 0 2 12:8 9
4 Dresden U19 6 2 0 4 13:15 6
5 Aue U19 6 2 0 4 8:20 6
6 Furth U19 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
7 Erfurt U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 19:12 13
2 Bayern U19 5 4 0 1 15:8 12
3 Ingolstadt U19 5 3 0 2 11:9 9
4 Munich 1860 U19 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
5 Regensburg U19 5 1 1 3 7:9 4
6 Unterhaching U19 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
7 Freiberg U19 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim U19 6 4 1 1 23:7 13
2 Heidenheim U19 6 4 1 1 19:7 13
3 Freiburg U19 6 3 3 0 11:7 12
4 Karlsruher U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
5 Augsburg U19 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
6 Sandhausen U19 6 2 1 3 10:16 7
7 Stuttgarter Kickers U19 6 1 2 3 10:22 5
8 Ulm U19 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 5 4 1 0 20:3 13
2 Mainz U19 5 2 3 0 12:5 9
3 Kaiserslautern U19 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Darmstadt U19 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
5 Fortuna Koln U19 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
6 Wehen U19 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
7 FSV Frankfurt U19 5 0 1 4 8:18 1
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leverkusen U19 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Viktoria Koln U19 5 3 1 1 24:10 10
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 6 3 1 2 16:13 10
4 Bochum U19 5 3 0 2 16:8 9
5 Alemannia Aachen U19 5 1 1 3 9:14 4
6 Elversberg U19 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
7 Saarbrucken U19 5 0 0 5 1:28 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund U19 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Duisburg U19 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Schalke U19 5 1 3 1 3:2 6
4 Dusseldorf U19 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
5 RW Essen U19 5 1 2 2 7:13 5
6 VfL Osnabruck U19 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
7 Oberhausen U19 4 0 0 4 6:13 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hannover U19 6 5 0 1 18:9 15
2 Arminia Bielefeld U19 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
3 Preussen Munster U19 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Wolfsburg U19 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
5 Meppen U19 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Paderborn U19 5 1 0 4 6:12 3
7 TSV Havelse U19 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)