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Aue vs BFC Dynamo

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Angleberger D.
24' Event
Bolke L.
44' Event
Queisser L.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Aue and BFC Dynamo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Aue
30%
Draws
38%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BFC Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFC Dynamo come out ahead of Aue on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans BFC Dynamo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aue Clean Sheet 14%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Aue vs BFC Dynamo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Angleberger D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queisser L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolke L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dadashov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 19 / 100
BFC Dynamo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue BFC Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Dynamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Aue went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BFC Dynamo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS BFC Dynamo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
Page 1 of 6

BFC Dynamo

(Away)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
BFC Dynamo
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)