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Aue vs BFC Dynamo

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Angleberger D.
24' Event
Bolke L.
44' Event
Queisser L.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Aue and BFC Dynamo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aue
15%
Draws
40%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFC Dynamo come out ahead of Aue on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aue Clean Sheet 16%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Aue vs BFC Dynamo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Angleberger D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queisser L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolke L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dadashov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 30 / 100
BFC Dynamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue BFC Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

BFC Dynamo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Aue has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS BFC Dynamo
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
25 Jul
Aue
3 : 3
Altglienicke
19 Jul
Aue
2 : 4
Schalke
15 Jul
Zeitz
0 : 6
Aue
Page 1 of 6

BFC Dynamo

(Away)
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
01 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
Chemie Leipzig
24 Jul
Erfurt
4 : 1
BFC Dynamo
17 Jul
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
Berliner AK 07
11 Jul
Hertha Zehlendorf
0 : 5
BFC Dynamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chemnitzer 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Erfurt 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
3 Greifswalder FC 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
4 Aue 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
5 Lokomotive Leipzig 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Jena 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
7 Altglienicke 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
8 Hallescher 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
9 Rsv Eintracht 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
10 Magdeburg II 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
11 Babelsberg 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
12 BFC Dynamo 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
13 Zwickau 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
14 Luckenwalde 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
15 Hertha Berlin II 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 4 1 0 3 3:14 3
17 BFC Preussen 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
18 Chemie Leipzig 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)