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Stadium Background

Aue vs Duisburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Seiffert M. In: Collins J.
Out: Seiffert M.
32'
Fabisch J.
62'
Sub
Gockan M. In: Coskun C.
Out: Gockan M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Aue and Duisburg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aue
15%
Draws
46%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Duisburg come out ahead of Aue on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aue Clean Sheet 12%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Duisburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 3. Liga
Aue vs Duisburg
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Aue
0:0
May 12, 2024 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Aue
2:2
Dec 9, 2023 3. Liga
Aue vs Duisburg
1:1
May 5, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Aue
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 35 / 100
Duisburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Duisburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aue stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Duisburg
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

Duisburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)