Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs Erfurt

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jan 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aue host Erfurt in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Aue at 3.5 goals for, 1.25 against; Erfurt at 3.13 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Aue have won 1 to Erfurt's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.19) point toward Erfurt. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aue
20%
Draws
40%
Erfurt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Aue haven't matched Erfurt's recent run of results.
  • Erfurt are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Erfurt
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 3.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:0
Jan 16, 2018 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:1
Jan 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Aue vs Erfurt
0:0
Feb 28, 2016 3. Liga
Aue vs Erfurt
2:2
Sep 12, 2015 3. Liga
Erfurt vs Aue
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 10 / 100
Erfurt 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Erfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Erfurt has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Aue has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Erfurt
3.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
25 Jul
Aue
3 : 3
Altglienicke
19 Jul
Aue
2 : 4
Schalke
15 Jul
Zeitz
0 : 6
Aue
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Erfurt

(Away)
05 Aug
Erfurt
6 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
02 Aug
Hallescher
1 : 1
Erfurt
24 Jul
Erfurt
4 : 1
BFC Dynamo
18 Jul
Erfurt
1 : 0
Kassel
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
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