Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs Hoffenheim II

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Malone R.
5' Event
Zeitler D.
Assist: Hennrich P.
8' Event
Duric L.
Assist: Erlein L.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Aue and Hoffenheim II finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aue
15%
Draws
39%
Hoffenheim II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aue come out ahead of Hoffenheim II on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Hoffenheim II taking it.
  • Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aue Clean Sheet 16%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Hoffenheim II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 3. Liga
Aue vs Hoffenheim II
3:5
Oct 26, 2025 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Aue
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Bar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bornschein R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeitler D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duric L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 19 / 100
Hoffenheim II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Hoffenheim II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aue scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Hoffenheim II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Aue has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Hoffenheim II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
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Hoffenheim II

(Away)
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
15 Aug
Dusseldorf
0 : 2
Hoffenheim II
09 Aug
Hoffenheim II
2 : 3
Hansa Rostock
01 Aug
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Hoffenheim II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)