Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Maciejewski T.
28' Event
Matzke J.
48' Event
Maciejewski T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Aue and Luckenwalde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aue
20%
Draws
0%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Luckenwalde haven't matched Aue's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aue's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aue Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Luckenwalde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Aue vs Luckenwalde
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciejewski T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Matzke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 85 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aue Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aue found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Luckenwalde conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aue stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Luckenwalde's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Luckenwalde
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
26 Aug
Aue
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
25 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 5
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
4 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
5 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
6 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
7 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)