Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auerbach vs Arnstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Sieber M.
69' Event
Lvov A.
69' Event
Kampfer P.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Auerbach and Arnstadt finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Auerbach
15%
Draws
26%
Arnstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnstadt haven't matched Auerbach's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Auerbach a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 68%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach Arnstadt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Arnstadt
3:1
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Auerbach
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auerbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Sieber M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kampfer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Lvov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 95 / 100
Arnstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach Arnstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auerbach's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arnstadt let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Auerbach stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS Arnstadt
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

Arnstadt

(Away)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)