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Stadium Background

Augsburg II vs Aschaffenburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Desch R.
68' Event
Baier B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Aschaffenburg in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Augsburg II
20%
Draws
60%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Augsburg II haven't matched Aschaffenburg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aschaffenburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Augsburg II Clean Sheet 10%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg II Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Augsburg II vs Aschaffenburg
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Augsburg II
3:2
Mar 21, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Augsburg II vs Aschaffenburg
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Augsburg II
0:0
Apr 19, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Augsburg II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg II 10 / 100
Aschaffenburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg II Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg II found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Aschaffenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Aschaffenburg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg II VS Aschaffenburg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg II

(Home)
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Bayern II
0 : 0
Augsburg II
12 Sept
Augsburg II
0 : 3
Furth II
05 Sept
Unterhaching
3 : 0
Augsburg II
29 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 3
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 6

Aschaffenburg

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1
Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)