Sport Picks
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Germany
Bundesliga WWK Arena, Augsburg 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kofane C.
Assist: Tapsoba E.
38'
38'
Banks N.
50'
50'
Gregoritsch M.
Assist: Behrens H.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Augsburg haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Augsburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Kofane C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schick P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Augsburg 34 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Augsburg Bayer Leverkusen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Augsburg scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Bayer Leverkusen has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Augsburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Augsburg VS Bayer Leverkusen
3.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Augsburg
(Home) 12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4 Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0 Schalke
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2 Augsburg
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0 Schalke
08 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 2 Sassuolo
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1 Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 3
Bayer Leverkusen
(Away) 12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Wehen
0 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Wehen
0 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
12 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
