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Augsburg vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga WWK Arena, Augsburg
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Augsburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Augsburg at 2.24 goals for, 1.72 against; Union Berlin at 1.73 for, 2.07 against. Head-to-head, Augsburg have won 2 to Union Berlin's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 1.75, favoring Augsburg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Augsburg
30%
Draws
35%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Augsburg come out ahead of Union Berlin on wins alone.
  • Augsburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 12%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Union Berlin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.24 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Augsburg
4:0
Jan 15, 2026 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Union Berlin
1:1
May 17, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Union Berlin
1:2
Jan 15, 2025 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Augsburg
0:2
Apr 12, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Union Berlin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 83 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Union Berlin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Augsburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Union Berlin
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

Union Berlin

(Away)
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 16:4 11
4 Bayer Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 14:8 10
5 RB Leipzig 5 3 0 2 15:5 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 13:8 8
7 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
8 Mainz 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
9 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 1. FC Koln 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 VfB Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Hamburger 5 2 0 3 5:15 6
13 Schalke 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 5 1 2 2 9:16 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 9:13 3
18 B. Monchengladbach 5 0 0 5 7:18 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)