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Augsdaugavas vs Leevon PPK

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Nakotnes liga 2025 Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions, Ilūkste
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Match Events

18' Event
Volosovs T.
21' Event
Volosovs T.
40'
Sub
Shokun O. In: Avdejevs D.
Out: Shokun O.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Leevon PPK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Augsdaugavas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Augsdaugavas
20%
Draws
74%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of Augsdaugavas on wins alone.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsdaugavas Leevon PPK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Leevon PPK
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Augsdaugavas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Top Goalscorer Volosovs T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Muiznieks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 10 / 100
Leevon PPK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsdaugavas Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Augsdaugavas found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Augsdaugavas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leevon PPK
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsdaugavas

(Home)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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