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Augsdaugavas vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025 Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions, Ilūkste
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Match Events

33' Event
Volosovs T.
41'
Kellers O.
46'
Likas O.

AI Match Summary

Skanste in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skanste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Augsdaugavas
20%
Draws
73%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skanste lately — more wins on the board than Augsdaugavas.
  • Skanste are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 17%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsdaugavas Skanste
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Skanste
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs Augsdaugavas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Top Goalscorer Volosovs T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 10 / 100
Skanste 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsdaugavas Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skanste conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Augsdaugavas's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Augsdaugavas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skanste
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsdaugavas

(Home)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Skanste

(Away)
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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