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Stadium Background

Augsdaugavas vs Tukums 2000 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ansevics E.
28'
Petersons M.
36'
Sub
Romanovskis R. In: Kolesnikovics H.
Out: Romanovskis R.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Tukums 2000 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tukums 2000 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Augsdaugavas
20%
Draws
40%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Augsdaugavas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 18%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsdaugavas Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.23 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Tukums 2000 2
0:1
May 10, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Augsdaugavas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Putrans D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 36 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsdaugavas Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Tukums 2000 2 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Augsdaugavas's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tukums 2000 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsdaugavas

(Home)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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