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Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 game between Aumund-Vegesack and BTS Neustadt finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BTS Neustadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aumund-Vegesack
15%
Draws
48%
BTS Neustadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BTS Neustadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • BTS Neustadt's 2.61 goals per match outpaces what Aumund-Vegesack have produced (2.21).
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Aumund-Vegesack taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 20%
BTS Neustadt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aumund-Vegesack BTS Neustadt
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 16 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 2.21 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt
5:4
Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack
5:2
Mar 9, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs BTS Neustadt
3:3
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
BTS Neustadt vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aumund-Vegesack 85 / 100
BTS Neustadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aumund-Vegesack BTS Neustadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aumund-Vegesack's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

BTS Neustadt let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Aumund-Vegesack has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aumund-Vegesack VS BTS Neustadt
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aumund-Vegesack

(Home)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
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BTS Neustadt

(Away)
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 4
BTS Neustadt
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
29 Aug
Blumenthaler
1 : 0
BTS Neustadt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)