Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Gonzalez F.
21' Event
Bajan D.
26'
Yanes A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Aurora F.C. and Deportivo Mixco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aurora F.C.
33%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Mixco come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
  • Aurora F.C. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 50 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Deportivo Mixco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aurora F.C. found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Deportivo Mixco
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
25 Jul
Aurora F.C.
0 : 1
Guastatoya
26 Apr
Aurora F.C.
1 : 1
Mictlan
19 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
4 : 0
Aurora F.C.
15 Apr
Aurora F.C.
0 : 1
Marquense
11 Apr
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
29 Jul
Olimpia
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
25 Jul
Municipal
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)