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Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Lon A.
31'
Alvarado C.
44'
Soriano J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Aurora F.C. and Guastatoya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guastatoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aurora F.C.
6%
Draws
90%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aurora F.C. haven't matched Guastatoya's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 19%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Guastatoya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
3:2
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboine K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 10 / 100
Guastatoya 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Guastatoya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guastatoya has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Guastatoya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aurora F.C. scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Guastatoya
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219