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Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Monterroso C.
23'
Cardenas S.
23'
Flores C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Aurora F.C. and Xelaju finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aurora F.C.
15%
Draws
59%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xelaju come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
  • Model gives Xelaju a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 12%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Xelaju
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
2:1
Aug 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 19 / 100
Xelaju 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aurora F.C. scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Xelaju conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Aurora F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Xelaju
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
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Xelaju

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)