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Aurora Saigon United vs Ho Chi Minh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ho Chi Minh City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ho Chi Minh City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aurora Saigon United
15%
Draws
64%
Ho Chi Minh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ho Chi Minh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh City have won more games recently than Aurora Saigon United.
  • Model gives Ho Chi Minh City a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aurora Saigon United Clean Sheet 20%
Ho Chi Minh City Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Saigon United Ho Chi Minh City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Aurora Saigon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
2:0
Oct 2, 2025 V.League 2
Aurora Saigon United vs Ho Chi Minh City
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh City vs Aurora Saigon United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora Saigon United 20 / 100
Ho Chi Minh City 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Saigon United Ho Chi Minh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ho Chi Minh City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Aurora Saigon United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Ho Chi Minh City let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Aurora Saigon United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora Saigon United VS Ho Chi Minh City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora Saigon United

(Home)
06 Oct
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
4 : 3
Aurora Saigon United
27 Sept
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 3
Thai Nguyen
11 Sept
Hue FC
0 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
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Ho Chi Minh City

(Away)
25 Sept
Ho Chi Minh City
0 : 1
Van Hien
18 Sept
Quy Nhon United
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh City
12 Sept
Lam Dong
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Aurora Saigon United
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