Sport Picks
Aurora Seriate vs Folgore Caratese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Aurora Seriate in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora Seriate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora Seriate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aurora Seriate haven't matched Folgore Caratese's recent run of results.
- Model gives Aurora Seriate a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 15%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora Seriate | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 17 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Aurora Seriate
4:1
Sep 28, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Folgore Caratese
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora Seriate 39 / 100
Folgore Caratese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Seriate Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora Seriate scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 63% of 40 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Aurora Seriate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora Seriate
(Home) 10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
25 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Castellana
15 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 8
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
