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Aurora Seriate vs Inveruno

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Aurora Seriate and Inveruno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora Seriate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aurora Seriate
20%
Draws
29%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora Seriate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aurora Seriate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aurora Seriate taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 20%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Seriate Inveruno
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.27 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Inveruno
3:1
Oct 5, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Aurora Seriate
1:0
Apr 13, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Aurora Seriate
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Inveruno
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora Seriate 42 / 100
Inveruno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Seriate Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aurora Seriate scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aurora Seriate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inveruno
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora Seriate

(Home)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)