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Aurora Seriate vs Virtus Verona

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Aurora Seriate and Virtus Verona finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Verona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aurora Seriate
30%
Draws
37%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aurora Seriate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aurora Seriate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 20%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Seriate Virtus Verona
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 13
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Virtus Verona vs Aurora Seriate
2:2
Nov 9, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Virtus Verona
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora Seriate 36 / 100
Virtus Verona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Seriate Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Virtus Verona conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Aurora Seriate found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Aurora Seriate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Virtus Verona
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora Seriate

(Home)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
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Virtus Verona

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)