Sport Picks
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
Bolivia
Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba 
Match Events
21'
21'
Torrico J.
32'
32'
Cordano R.
34'
34'
Fajardo J. F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional game between Aurora and Academia del Balompie finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Aurora have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aurora Clean Sheet 20%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora | Academia del Balompie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
2:0
Sep 25, 2026 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
0:1
Jul 24, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Dec 15, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Jul 25, 2025 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora Compare
Top Goalscorer Torrico J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Terrazas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Academia del Balompie Compare
Top Goalscorer Riasco J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora 31 / 100
Academia del Balompie 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Academia del Balompie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Academia del Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aurora VS Academia del Balompie
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora
(Home) 03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1 Aurora
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0 Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0 GV San Jose
22 Aug
Aurora
0 : 0 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 3
Academia del Balompie
(Away) 02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2 Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4 Academia del Balompie
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2 The Strongest
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2 Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4 Academia del Balompie
12 Sept
Blooming
6 : 1 Academia del Balompie
28 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1 Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21:40 | 20 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:39 | 18 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:39 | 16 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
