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Aurora vs Academia del Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Velazco M.
Assist: Viviani L.
46'
Sub
Altamirano S. In: Amarilla A.
Out: Altamirano S.
64'
Sub
Pacheco A. In: Mojica H.
Out: Pacheco A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Aurora
20%
Draws
28%
Academia del Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
  • Aurora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aurora, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aurora have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aurora Clean Sheet 20%
Academia del Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Academia del Balompie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 2
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.59 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
2:0
Sep 25, 2026 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
0:1
Jul 24, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Dec 15, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Academia del Balompie
3:2
Jul 25, 2025 Copa Pacena
Academia del Balompie vs Aurora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Academia del Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 67 / 100
Academia del Balompie 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Academia del Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aurora scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Academia del Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Aurora went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Academia del Balompie
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

Academia del Balompie

(Away)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
02 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Academia del Balompie
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 7 4 2 1 21:5 14
2 Always Ready 7 3 1 3 12:19 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)