Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs Ciclon

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Aurora Logo

Aurora

2 - 1
FT
Ciclon Logo

Ciclon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Aurora and Ciclon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Aurora
20%
Draws
24%
Ciclon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciclon haven't matched Aurora's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aurora a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 16%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Ciclon
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Ciclon
2:1
Apr 2, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Aurora
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 84 / 100
Ciclon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Ciclon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Ciclon conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Aurora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 7

Ciclon

(Away)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)