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Aurora vs Club Universitario de Vinto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Postigo P.
Assist: Saavedra D.
41' Event
Saavedra D.
Assist: Rodriguez H.
45'
Ramallo R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Aurora
20%
Draws
28%
Club Universitario de Vinto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora lately — more wins on the board than Club Universitario de Vinto.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
  • Aurora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aurora, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aurora Clean Sheet 16%
Club Universitario de Vinto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Club Universitario de Vinto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 4
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Club Universitario de Vinto
4:2
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora
1:1
Jun 2, 2026 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Aurora vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaca H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torrico J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Club Universitario de Vinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Postigo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saavedra D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 66 / 100
Club Universitario de Vinto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Club Universitario de Vinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Club Universitario de Vinto let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aurora has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Club Universitario de Vinto
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

Club Universitario de Vinto

(Away)
10 Oct
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 3
Real Oruro
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)