Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs Fancesa

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Aurora Logo

Aurora

1 - 0
FT
Fancesa Logo

Fancesa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aurora in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aurora
35%
Draws
26%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fancesa lately — more wins on the board than Aurora.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aurora Clean Sheet 18%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Fancesa
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 12 15
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.53 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Fancesa
1:0
Mar 18, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Aurora
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 36 / 100
Fancesa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fancesa let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Aurora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fancesa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
08 Aug
Aurora
2 : 4
Bolivar
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1
Aurora
31 Jul
The Strongest
1 : 1
Aurora
24 Jul
Aurora
3 : 2
Academia del Balompie
19 Jul
Aurora
2 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 7

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)