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Aurora vs Nacional Potosi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora host Nacional Potosi in the Division Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Aurora have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Nacional Potosi's 1.9 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Nacional Potosi slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.69) back Aurora to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aurora
30%
Draws
33%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Nacional Potosi have won more games recently than Aurora.
  • Model gives Nacional Potosi a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aurora Clean Sheet 13%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Aurora
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Nacional Potosi
1:2
May 16, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Aurora
3:1
Dec 17, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Aurora
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 22 / 100
Nacional Potosi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Aurora has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nacional Potosi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Nacional Potosi
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Potosi

(Away)
08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3
Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)