Sport Picks

Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles

Aurora

1 - 4

Ramiro Castillo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ramiro Castillo in this Nacional B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ramiro Castillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Aurora

Draws

90%

Ramiro Castillo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ramiro Castillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ramiro Castillo have won more games recently than Aurora.
Win probability leans Ramiro Castillo's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Nacional B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Aurora Clean Sheet 18%

Ramiro Castillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aurora	Ramiro Castillo
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	10	10
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar

Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

May 12, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar

Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Dec 8, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar

Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Nov 19, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar

Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Nov 30, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar

Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 10 / 100

Ramiro Castillo 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aurora Ramiro Castillo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Ramiro Castillo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guabira	8	5	2	1	17:6	17
2	Destroyers	8	4	3	1	22:5	15
3	Universitario Beni	8	4	2	2	10:10	14
4	El Torno FC	8	3	1	4	18:14	10
5	Real Mapajo	8	0	0	8	2:34	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maestranza	8	6	1	1	16:7	19
2	Ramiro Castillo	8	4	1	3	18:11	13
3	Aurora	8	3	3	2	10:9	12
4	Enrique Happ	8	3	2	3	12:9	11
5	Oruro Royal	8	0	1	7	7:27	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Bermejo	8	7	1	0	26:6	22
2	Ciclon	8	5	1	2	24:12	16
3	Fancesa	8	4	2	2	21:15	14
4	Wilstermann Cooperativas	8	1	0	7	13:20	3
5	Quebracho Villa Montes	8	1	0	7	15:46	3