Sport Picks
Aurora vs Real Oruro
Bolivia
Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba 
Match Events
13'
13'
Viviani L.
23'
23'
Fernandez A.
Assist: Quinonez A.
34'
34'
Gatti F.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional game between Aurora and Real Oruro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Aurora taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Aurora Clean Sheet 17%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurora | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Oruro
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs Aurora
5:3
Apr 25, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Oruro
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurora Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramallo R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Real Oruro Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurora 66 / 100
Real Oruro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurora Real Oruro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Real Oruro let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.
Aurora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aurora VS Real Oruro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurora
(Home) 01 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1 Aurora
27 Aug
Always Ready
2 : 2 Aurora
22 Aug
Aurora
0 : 0 Real Potosi
18 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 1 Aurora
15 Aug
Blooming
3 : 0 Aurora
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Aurora
0 : 0 Real Potosi
08 Aug
Aurora
2 : 4 Bolivar
24 Jul
Aurora
3 : 2 Academia del Balompie
19 Jul
Aurora
2 : 2 Oriente Petrolero
13 May
Aurora
1 : 1 Real Oruro
Page 1 of 3
Real Oruro
(Away) 04 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
29 Aug
GV San Jose
4 : 1 Real Oruro
27 Aug
Blooming
1 : 1 Real Oruro
23 Aug
Real Oruro
2 : 4 Bolivar
20 Aug
Always Ready
4 : 2 Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
GV San Jose
4 : 1 Real Oruro
27 Aug
Blooming
1 : 1 Real Oruro
20 Aug
Always Ready
4 : 2 Real Oruro
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Real Oruro
04 Aug
Academia del Balompie
4 : 1 Real Oruro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44:19 | 36 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 36 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:23 | 27 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Guabira | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:31 | 25 |
| 8 | Aurora | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 9 | Blooming | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22:18 | 23 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosi | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 32:43 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 29:37 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 18:37 | 17 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:32 | 16 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 16 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
