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Aurora vs Tomayapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora host Tomayapo in the Division Profesional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tomayapo have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Aurora have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Tomayapo slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.94, favoring Aurora. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aurora
35%
Draws
20%
Tomayapo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomayapo haven't matched Aurora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aurora Clean Sheet 20%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Tomayapo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.57 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
0:2
Sep 19, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Tomayapo
1:2
May 4, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
2:1
Aug 26, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Tomayapo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 85 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Tomayapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Aurora stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tomayapo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Tomayapo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

Tomayapo

(Away)
09 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 0
Tomayapo
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)