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Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurrera de Vitoria host Real Sociedad C in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Real Sociedad C have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Aurrera de Vitoria have conceded 1.16 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Aurrera de Vitoria have won 1 to Real Sociedad C's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.69) back Real Sociedad C to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aurrera de Vitoria
20%
Draws
40%
Real Sociedad C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aurrera de Vitoria have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Real Sociedad C are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 13%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera de Vitoria Real Sociedad C
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
0:3
Mar 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
1:2
Feb 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera de Vitoria 31 / 100
Real Sociedad C 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera de Vitoria Real Sociedad C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aurrera de Vitoria scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Aurrera de Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Sociedad C conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera de Vitoria VS Real Sociedad C
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Home)
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
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Real Sociedad C

(Away)
10 Oct
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)