Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurrera de Vitoria vs Santurtzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurrera de Vitoria host Santurtzi in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Aurrera de Vitoria at 1.45 goals for, 1.21 against; Santurtzi at 0.86 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Aurrera de Vitoria have won 2 to Santurtzi's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.81) point toward Aurrera de Vitoria. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aurrera de Vitoria
15%
Draws
28%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurrera de Vitoria come out ahead of Santurtzi on wins alone.
  • Aurrera de Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera de Vitoria Santurtzi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Santurtzi
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:2
Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Aurrera de Vitoria
2:0
Nov 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Santurtzi
1:2
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera de Vitoria 67 / 100
Santurtzi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera de Vitoria Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aurrera de Vitoria scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Santurtzi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aurrera de Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera de Vitoria VS Santurtzi
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Home)
17 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Real Sociedad C
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

Santurtzi

(Away)
10 Oct
Santurtzi
1 : 0
Real Union B
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)