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Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aurrera Ondarroa host Anaitasuna FT in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aurrera Ondarroa at 1 goals for, 2 against; Anaitasuna FT at 0.63 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Anaitasuna FT slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Anaitasuna FT. Anaitasuna FT in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aurrera Ondarroa

39%

Draws

31%

Anaitasuna FT

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Anaitasuna FT has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aurrera Ondarroa.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 68%

Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aurrera Ondarroa	Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	8
Draws	8	5
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	1	0.63
Goals Conceded	2	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anaitasuna FT vs Aurrera Ondarroa

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Aurrera Ondarroa vs Anaitasuna FT

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Aurrera Ondarroa vs Anaitasuna FT

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anaitasuna FT vs Aurrera Ondarroa

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

4:4

Apr 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Anaitasuna FT vs Aurrera Ondarroa

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 41 / 100

Anaitasuna FT 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aurrera Ondarroa Anaitasuna FT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Anaitasuna FT let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Aurrera Ondarroa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Anaitasuna FT lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS Anaitasuna FT

1 Goals Scored 0.63

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Vitoria	34	25	7	2	65:17	82
2	Basconia	34	18	10	6	54:32	64
3	Beasain	34	19	6	9	55:36	63
4	SD Deusto	34	17	10	7	45:29	61
5	Portugalete	34	17	9	8	54:32	60
6	Lagun Onak	34	16	9	9	43:33	57
7	SCD Durango	34	14	8	12	47:47	50
8	San Ignacio	34	12	11	11	49:44	47
9	Leioa	34	13	6	15	46:51	45
10	Urduliz FT	34	11	9	14	38:47	42
11	Derio	34	11	9	14	35:35	42
12	Alaves C	34	10	10	14	34:42	40
13	Touring KE	34	9	12	13	39:49	39
14	Padura	34	9	11	14	33:47	38
15	Pasaia	34	9	7	18	23:42	34
16	Anaitasuna FT	34	8	8	18	35:51	32
17	Aurrera Ondarroa	34	5	9	20	26:54	24
18	Anorga	34	3	9	22	31:64	18