Sport Picks
Aurrera Ondarroa vs San Ignacio
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
18'
18'
Diaz O.
AI Match Summary
San Ignacio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Ignacio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Ignacio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Ignacio lately — more wins on the board than Aurrera Ondarroa.
- San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 21%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurrera Ondarroa | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera Ondarroa
4:4
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs San Ignacio
0:1
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:2
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs San Ignacio
1:1
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurrera Ondarroa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
San Ignacio Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurrera Ondarroa 20 / 100
San Ignacio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurrera Ondarroa San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
San Ignacio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 38 matches.
Solid form: Aurrera Ondarroa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS San Ignacio
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurrera Ondarroa
(Home) 11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
13 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Leioa
28 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
16 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
San Ignacio
(Away) 15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1 Alaves C
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1 San Ignacio
19 Apr
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Leioa
Page 1 of 8
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2 San Ignacio
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1 San Ignacio
11 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 1 San Ignacio
28 Mar
SCD Durango
0 : 1 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
