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Aurskog-Holand vs Valdres

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurskog-Holand in this Division 3 - Group 3 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurskog-Holand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aurskog-Holand
20%
Draws
0%
Valdres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurskog-Holand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Valdres have won more games recently than Aurskog-Holand.
  • Model gives Aurskog-Holand a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aurskog-Holand Clean Sheet 20%
Valdres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurskog-Holand Valdres
Matches Played 28 45
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 29
Goals Scored 1.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 2 4.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Valdres vs Aurskog-Holand
2:1
May 21, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Aurskog-Holand vs Valdres
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurskog-Holand 85 / 100
Valdres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurskog-Holand Valdres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurskog-Holand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valdres conceded in 84% of 45 recent games.

Valdres lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Aurskog-Holand scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valdres
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 9.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurskog-Holand

(Home)
22 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
4 : 4
Kongsvinger 2
15 Oct
Flisa
2 : 2
Aurskog-Holand
08 Oct
Aurskog-Holand
3 : 0
Ardal
01 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
5 : 0
Aurskog-Holand
27 Sept
Aurskog-Holand
1 : 3
Ull/Kisa 2
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Valdres

(Away)
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Valdres
0 : 6
Stord
12 Oct
Bergen Nord
8 : 0
Valdres
05 Oct
Valdres
0 : 8
Lysekloster
30 Sept
Valdres
0 : 2
Brann 2
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