Sport Picks

Lithuania

Division 2 2015

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auska Alytus play FK Panevezys in the Division 2 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Auska Alytus averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. FK Panevezys averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Auska Alytus won 1, FK Panevezys won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 31, 2015 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Auska Alytus and 1.18 for FK Panevezys. This points to a FK Panevezys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Auska Alytus

15%

Draws

49%

FK Panevezys

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Auska Alytus picked up more points recently compared to FK Panevezys.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Auska Alytus Clean Sheet 20%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Auska Alytus	FK Panevezys
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	14
Draws	4	4
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.23	1.35
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 I Lyga

Auska Alytus vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jul 1, 2015 I Lyga

FK Panevezys vs Auska Alytus

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auska Alytus 36 / 100

FK Panevezys 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Auska Alytus FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Panevezys or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auska Alytus attacking → ← attacking FK Panevezys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auska Alytus scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FK Panevezys let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Auska Alytus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 46

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25