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Austevoll vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austevoll in this Division 3 - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austevoll.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Austevoll
20%
Draws
23%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Austevoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austevoll lately — more wins on the board than Varegg.
  • Model gives Austevoll a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 18%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austevoll Varegg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Austevoll vs Varegg
2:2
May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Austevoll
2:2
Oct 1, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Varegg
1:0
Jun 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Austevoll
2:1
Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Varegg
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austevoll 41 / 100
Varegg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austevoll Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austevoll's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Austevoll remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austevoll VS Varegg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Austevoll

(Home)
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 1
Austevoll
15 Aug
Austevoll
2 : 1
V. Haugesund
10 Aug
Asane 2
0 : 1
Austevoll
01 Aug
Austevoll
1 : 5
OS TF
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Varegg

(Away)
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
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