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Austevoll vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austevoll host Varegg in the Division 3 - Group 3. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Austevoll have averaged 1.86 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Varegg's 1.2 scored and 2.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Austevoll have won 1 to Varegg's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.63, favoring Austevoll. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Austevoll
15%
Draws
32%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austevoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Austevoll have won more games recently than Varegg.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 14%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austevoll Varegg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.86 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Austevoll
2:2
Oct 1, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Varegg
1:0
Jun 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Austevoll
2:1
Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Varegg
1:3
May 30, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Austevoll
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austevoll 31 / 100
Varegg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austevoll Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austevoll scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Austevoll stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austevoll VS Varegg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Austevoll

(Home)
30 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 1
Austevoll
15 Aug
Austevoll
2 : 1
V. Haugesund
10 Aug
Asane 2
0 : 1
Austevoll
01 Aug
Austevoll
1 : 5
OS TF
25 Jul
Forde
1 : 1
Austevoll
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Varegg

(Away)
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
08 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 4
Varegg
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
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