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Austin Bold vs Charlotte Independence Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Championship 2021
Austin Bold Logo

Austin Bold

1 - 1
FT
Charlotte Independence Logo

Charlotte Independence

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Johnson J. In: Bizama J.
Out: Johnson J.
23'
Roberts H.
60'
Sub
Quintanilla A. A. In: Diouf A.
Out: Quintanilla A. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Austin Bold
35%
Draws
52%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlotte Independence lately — more wins on the board than Austin Bold.
  • Charlotte Independence are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 16%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin Bold Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Charlotte Independence
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin Bold Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Obertan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin Bold 15 / 100
Charlotte Independence 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin Bold Charlotte Independence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlotte Independence conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Austin Bold scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Austin Bold went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Charlotte Independence
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin Bold

(Home)
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0
Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3
Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte Independence

(Away)
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
3 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
4 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
5 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
6 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
7 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
8 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
9 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
10 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
11 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
12 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
13 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
14 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
15 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
3 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
4 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
6 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
7 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
8 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
9 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
10 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
11 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
12 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
13 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
14 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
15 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
16 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
4 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
5 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
6 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
7 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
8 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
2 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
3 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
4 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
5 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
6 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
7 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
8 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
3 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
4 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
5 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
6 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
7 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
8 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
2 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
3 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
4 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
5 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
6 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
7 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)