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Austin Bold vs Rio Grande Valley FC Toros

USA USA

USL Championship 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Diz A.
24'
Manley C.
26' Event
Baez X.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Austin Bold
35%
Draws
52%
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Grande Valley FC Toros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Austin Bold have won more games recently than Rio Grande Valley FC Toros.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Rio Grande Valley FC Toros taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 17%
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin Bold Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
1:1
Jul 25, 2021 USL Championship
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros vs Austin Bold
1:1
Jul 8, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
1:1
Jun 17, 2021 USL Championship
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros vs Austin Bold
1:2
Apr 9, 2021 Club Friendly
Austin Bold vs Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin Bold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Rio Grande Valley FC Toros Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin Bold 15 / 100
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin Bold Rio Grande Valley FC Toros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Grande Valley FC Toros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin Bold scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rio Grande Valley FC Toros let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Austin Bold has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin Bold

(Home)
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0
Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3
Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6

Rio Grande Valley FC Toros

(Away)
15 Oct
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
2 : 1
Loudoun United
08 Oct
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
01 Oct
Colorado Springs
1 : 1
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
24 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
3 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
4 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
5 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
6 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
7 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
8 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
9 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
10 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
11 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
12 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
13 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
14 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
15 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
3 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
4 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
6 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
7 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
8 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
9 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
10 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
11 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
12 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
13 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
14 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
15 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
16 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
4 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
5 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
6 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
7 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
8 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
2 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
3 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
4 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
5 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
6 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
7 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
8 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
3 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
4 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
5 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
6 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
7 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
8 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
2 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
3 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
4 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
5 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
6 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
7 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)