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Austin FC II vs Foro

USA USA

US Open Cup 2024
Wed, Mar 20, 2024
2 - 3
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II play Foro in the US Open Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austin FC II averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Foro averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Austin FC II won 0, Foro won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2024 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Austin FC II and 1.31 for Foro. This points to a Austin FC II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Austin FC II
15%
Draws
41%
Foro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Austin FC II picked up more points recently compared to Foro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 18%
Foro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC II Foro
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 18 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.87 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.3 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2024 US Open Cup
Austin FC II vs Foro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineau S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Foro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauceda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 43 / 100
Foro 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC II Foro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Austin FC II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austin FC II attacking → ← attacking Foro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Foro let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Austin FC II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Foro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 6
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00